Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.724349 2.907331 3.102460 3.327072 3.579805 3.856967 4.186090
2025-12-21 2.448030 2.698560 2.980883 3.326403 3.743284 4.237413 4.879143
2025-12-28 2.269645 2.552778 2.883175 3.304150 3.836987 4.504962 5.433985
2026-01-04 2.097098 2.391358 2.743132 3.204346 3.808928 4.599750 5.761073
2026-01-11 1.998132 2.307605 2.685988 3.195778 3.887283 4.831325 6.298931
2026-01-18 1.944034 2.273128 2.684532 3.254205 4.054679 5.198392 7.092692
2026-01-25 2.038336 2.430421 2.938251 3.673743 4.770914 6.470338 9.643634
2026-02-01 1.912235 2.292239 2.789245 3.518210 4.624597 6.380283 9.785746
2026-02-08 1.791766 2.155713 2.634934 3.344015 4.433379 6.192155 9.699688
2026-02-15 1.726770 2.090189 2.574119 3.300823 4.440572 6.336454 10.308677
2026-02-22 1.655731 2.013218 2.493227 3.222057 4.383185 6.359665 10.666776
2026-03-01 1.583900 1.932331 2.403101 3.123878 4.285927 6.299441 10.825699
2026-03-08 1.506662 1.846754 2.310300 3.028446 4.206177 6.300311 11.231573
2026-03-15 1.462527 1.805704 2.279863 3.028189 4.289246 6.628168 12.589733
2026-03-22 1.417228 1.760425 2.240068 3.009096 4.335955 6.891226 13.907841
2026-03-29 1.357084 1.691562 2.162094 2.923429 4.255276 6.878467 14.424099
2026-04-05 1.322703 1.657766 2.134057 2.916062 4.315070 7.175100 16.091173
2026-04-12 1.305846 1.648112 2.141186 2.966258 4.486662 7.756578 19.220124
2026-04-19 1.363284 1.748627 2.321355 3.324191 5.312771 10.201928 34.916266
2026-04-26 1.304110 1.674149 2.225040 3.192000 5.117238 9.887623 34.598867
2026-05-03 1.244136 1.596928 2.121995 3.043247 4.876215 9.411969 32.809541
2026-05-10 1.212042 1.560558 2.082404 3.006246 4.872095 9.625212 36.586008
2026-05-17 1.175008 1.515656 2.027553 2.938650 4.795425 9.610225 38.650687